Bears vs Falcons — 5-pt total steam: 47.5 to 52.5, 92% handle on Over

The total has steamed five full points from 47.5 to 52.5 since the week opened, and the money is piled behind the move: the Over is drawing 92% of the handle on just 59% of tickets, a 33-point ticket/handle gap (Cleatz live board, Oct 18). The Falcons moneyline has also steamed from +140 to +100. Caveat: the repricing began as the market priced in Caleb Williams' return to full practice from a hamstring injury, but the handle concentration shows respected money kept buying the Over after the news. Kickoff today 1:00 PM ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta.