Grocery Price & Shrinkflation Watch

Why this is recommended

Knowing that eggs will fall next month, that a favorite product lost 15 percent of its size at the same price, or that a store brand launched at half the price is $20 to $50 a month for a family, every month.

What the Tab covers

Who it is for

Every household that buys groceries, which is every household.

When it runs

BLS and retailer price data publish mid-week and store ad cycles start Wednesday in most of the country

Scope

BLS and USDA price moves for eggs, milk, butter, cheese, chicken, beef, pork, bread, rice, pasta, coffee, cocoa, sugar, flour, produce staples, baby formula and pet food; documented shrinkflation from labels, Consumer World and Mouse Print; supply shocks; Walmart, Kroger, Albertsons, Costco, Aldi, Target, Amazon Fresh, H-E-B, Publix, Trader Joe's and Whole Foods loyalty, coupon, pricing and delivery changes; store-brand launches and reformulations; availability recalls

Suggested task

The objective your Tab starts with. You can edit every line of it once the Tab is yours.

Price moves of 10 percent or more on thirty staples, confirmed shrinkflation with the old and new sizes, supply shocks in eggs, beef, coffee, cocoa and produce with the reason and the outlook, loyalty and pricing changes at the big grocers, store-brand launches that undercut national brands and stock-up windows, with the product or store first.

Track US grocery prices. Report only confirmed, source-backed items from the last 7 days: BLS and USDA price moves of 10 percent or more year over year or 5 percent month over month for eggs, milk, butter, cheese, chicken, beef, pork, bread, rice, pasta, coffee, cocoa, sugar, flour, produce staples, baby formula and pet food; documented shrinkflation with old and new sizes from manufacturer labels or Consumer World and Mouse Print reporting; supply shocks such as avian flu, drought, tariffs and strikes with expected price effects; loyalty program, digital coupon, pricing and delivery fee changes at Walmart, Kroger, Albertsons, Costco, Aldi, Target, Amazon Fresh, H-E-B, Publix, Trader Joe's and Whole Foods; store-brand launches and reformulations; and recalls that affect availability. Prefer BLS, USDA, retailer announcements and established consumer reporting; ignore single-store anecdotes. Put the product or store first in the title with the number. Use high severity for a staple moving 20 percent, a shrinkflation of 15 percent or more, or a loyalty change at a top-5 grocer. Return no more than 6 findings. Push each as a finding with a title, a two-sentence summary, sections for what changed, the number, the outlook, what to do, and the source link. If nothing qualifies, push nothing and submit the run receipt.